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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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why history predicts romney's polls right now give him only a narrow path of winning this election. plus, scoops and prediction chris: welcome back. history shows the power of presidential debates that catapulted kennedy from behind to ahead and onto victory. but to do that means getting a clean debate win. enough to change the polls. here's a tough pattern for mitt romney. when the polls have changed from september to october, the incumbent, not the challenger, usually is the one improving. the incumbent has seen polls go up an average of 4.6% while challengers have even only an average of 2.5% gains in october. and finally there's very low volatility or changing of minds in recent presidential races. there are only a few truly undecided voters out there. and voters tend to lock in early. specialy -- especially in recent years. if you look at elections since 1996, the polls have not moved much from mid september to election day. the average change has been about 3.7%. even when they get off the fence. a couple of problems for romney. one, the tendency of voters to be hesitant about
why history predicts romney's polls right now give him only a narrow path of winning this election. plus, scoops and prediction chris: welcome back. history shows the power of presidential debates that catapulted kennedy from behind to ahead and onto victory. but to do that means getting a clean debate win. enough to change the polls. here's a tough pattern for mitt romney. when the polls have changed from september to october, the incumbent, not the challenger, usually is the one improving....
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CURRENT
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wait a second, romney rooip, romney, ryan. there we go. all right. that's great. >> oh sweet jesus. >> eliot: i don't think he is real. i think he is a computer. rich, chewy caramel rolled up in smooth milk chocolate. don't forget about that payroll meeting. rolo.get your smooth on. also in minis. >> eliot: in a climate where your i don't knows and worker rights have been under attack the teacher's strike resulted in significant gains for teachers and the educational reforms they support. in president of the american federation of teachers, the chicago teachers' national union, wrote and i quote . . . weingarten, the president of the american federation of teachers, the chicago teachers' national union. randi, thank for joining us. >> it's always great to be with you, eliot. >> eliot: thank you. you did reform late the education conversation with the strike. explain what you wanted to do and what you think you accomplished? >> no one wants a strike, and a strike is to be avoided virtually at all costs. no one goes into a strike willingly. but what ha
wait a second, romney rooip, romney, ryan. there we go. all right. that's great. >> oh sweet jesus. >> eliot: i don't think he is real. i think he is a computer. rich, chewy caramel rolled up in smooth milk chocolate. don't forget about that payroll meeting. rolo.get your smooth on. also in minis. >> eliot: in a climate where your i don't knows and worker rights have been under attack the teacher's strike resulted in significant gains for teachers and the educational reforms...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CURRENT
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>> jennifer: right. karl an article that was in "politico" today actually lays the blame of mitt romney's flailing candidacy solely at mitt romney's feet. do you agree with that? >> in part. if mitt romney's, you know message that's getting out there -- i think his big mistake was thinking he could push this extremely conservative agenda and get elected president. but he is only reflects the modern republican party that is controlled by the tea party at the moment. and that's one of the reasons he is having such troubles this time around. >> jennifer: yeah i think the effort to blame mitt romney for this is part of the scapegoating beginning right now. the republican party is to blame for the ridiculous positions that the mitt romney platform and the republican party platform holds. now let me ask you, cheryl because we're seeing some excitement in iowa with this early voting. we know that ohio will start early voting next week. that enthusiasm is boding well for democrats. however, we also know in ohio
>> jennifer: right. karl an article that was in "politico" today actually lays the blame of mitt romney's flailing candidacy solely at mitt romney's feet. do you agree with that? >> in part. if mitt romney's, you know message that's getting out there -- i think his big mistake was thinking he could push this extremely conservative agenda and get elected president. but he is only reflects the modern republican party that is controlled by the tea party at the moment. and...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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bush had trouble with. >> eliot: you're right. romney came across as smart. that's what affected it. doug, my question was every time i heard the $5 trillion gig, why did the president not turn to him and say if you do not plan to add a $5 trillion revenue loss what loopholes will you close? give us the broad brush outlines because without that, you don't have credibility. it would have seemed to me to be the appropriate response. >> absolutely. he could have just kept pressing him and i -- before the debate, my whole view was the president needs to spend little bit of time on defense and then just go on the offense. because mitt romney is so vulnerable to attacks not only on his current policies but on his previous policies and in being a flip-flopper and certainly his time as a businessman which really didn't come up that much which was surprising. certainly the president didn't press it but you didn't hear a lot about mitt romney talking about and bragging about how he created jobs because he knew he was vulnerable there. you didn't hear a lot about his ti
bush had trouble with. >> eliot: you're right. romney came across as smart. that's what affected it. doug, my question was every time i heard the $5 trillion gig, why did the president not turn to him and say if you do not plan to add a $5 trillion revenue loss what loopholes will you close? give us the broad brush outlines because without that, you don't have credibility. it would have seemed to me to be the appropriate response. >> absolutely. he could have just kept pressing him...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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up next, a debate guru tells us what romney and obama did right ÷g÷w >> chris: he has been called the nation's best political debate coach. he prepped george w. bush in 2004. john mccain in 2008 and michele bachmann and then mitt romney in this primary campaign. we asked brett o'donnell to join us today to talk about this week's debate and how both candidates need to recalibrate for the next one. the big i think it is fare to coming out of this what happened to president obama. why did he do so poorly. obviously you were in the room but best guess what do you think his debate team failed to do to prepare him for wednesday night? >> three areas where you have to prepare a candidate. the first s they have to know the issues and policy on both sides. i think president obama s fine in that area. but the last two areas i think his team may have failed. the second is you have to have a strategy going into the debate to execute. and the final thing is you have to be mentally prepared. i don't think the president was really mentally prepared to take on governor romney and i certainly thin
up next, a debate guru tells us what romney and obama did right ÷g÷w> chris: he has been called the nation's best political debate coach. he prepped george w. bush in 2004. john mccain in 2008 and michele bachmann and then mitt romney in this primary campaign. we asked brett o'donnell to join us today to talk about this week's debate and how both candidates need to recalibrate for the next one. the big i think it is fare to coming out of this what happened to president obama. why did he do...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CURRENT
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somebody is going to lower thank guns right on top of mitt romney's head. who is (vo) what is said here could decide the election. current tv presents coverage of the presidential debate. with unrivaled analysis and commentary. >> you're going to hear that used as a major talking point. (vo) the only network with real-time reaction straight from the campaigns and from viewers like you. >>now that's politically direct. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...allstate safe driving bonus check? what is that? so weird, right? my agent, tom, said... [ voice of dennis ] ...only allstate sends you a bonus check for every six months you're accident-free... ...but i'm a woman. maybe it's a misprint. does it look like a misprint? ok. what i was trying... [ voice of dennis ] silence. ♪ ♪ ask an allstate agent about the safe driving bonus check. are you in good hands? so, you guys grew up together. yes, since third grade... what are you lookin' at? not looking at i anything... we're not good enough for you. must be supermodels? what do you model gloves? bra
somebody is going to lower thank guns right on top of mitt romney's head. who is (vo) what is said here could decide the election. current tv presents coverage of the presidential debate. with unrivaled analysis and commentary. >> you're going to hear that used as a major talking point. (vo) the only network with real-time reaction straight from the campaigns and from viewers like you. >>now that's politically direct. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...allstate safe...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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certainly mitt romney is far to the right on things like women's issues, on choice, on judge, on all those things, but i think the conversation has been more about is he for the top over the folks who are in the middle and at the bottom. if you look at what he did at the debate, he tried to, you know, wiggle his way out of being this guy who is just for the top, this plutocrat that american people think he is basically and that he is, and the truth of the matter is that his position, the things that he has espoused on the campaign trail that he used to get through the republican primary, are positions that are very focused on the top and it looks like what the campaign is doing and what the press is doing is pointing out mitt romney is not telling the truth about the positions he has. >> yeah. but that's presuming he's going to stay on one message or the other. the most shocking thing about the debate, you're not going to do the 20% across the board tax cut, now you like certain parts of the obama care, but it muddles the president's tactics in terms on hammering him on things if tho
certainly mitt romney is far to the right on things like women's issues, on choice, on judge, on all those things, but i think the conversation has been more about is he for the top over the folks who are in the middle and at the bottom. if you look at what he did at the debate, he tried to, you know, wiggle his way out of being this guy who is just for the top, this plutocrat that american people think he is basically and that he is, and the truth of the matter is that his position, the things...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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up next, a debate guru tells us what romney and obama did right and wrong this week and how they need to rethink their strategies. úwñoa [ male announcer ] citibank's app for ipad makes it easy for anne to manage her finances when she's on the go. even when she's not going anywhere. citibank for ipad. easier banking. standard at citibank. helps him deposit his checks. jay also like it when mother nature helps him wash his car. mother nature's cool like that. mobile check deposit. easier banking. standard at citibank. >> chris: he has been called the nation's best political debate coach. he prepped george w. bush in 2004. john mccain in 2008 and michele bachmann and then mitt romney in this primary campaign. we asked brett o'donnell to join us today to talk about this week's debate and how both candidates need to recalibrate for the next one. the big i think it is fare to coming out of this debate is what happened to president obama. why did he do so poorly. obviously you were in the room but best guess what do you think his debate team failed to do to prepare him for wednesday nigh
up next, a debate guru tells us what romney and obama did right and wrong this week and how they need to rethink their strategies. úwñoa [ male announcer ] citibank's app for ipad makes it easy for anne to manage her finances when she's on the go. even when she's not going anywhere. citibank for ipad. easier banking. standard at citibank. helps him deposit his checks. jay also like it when mother nature helps him wash his car. mother nature's cool like that. mobile check deposit. easier...
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this is a fundamental disagreement about the way the world works and i think that romney was right this morning when he went in, he said look, there are two different viewpoints here. >> jennifer, you have to hold back. i can see you racing to get in there. it's not like last night. you can just pile in. >> truly, the $716 billion as you know was the same $716 billion in savings that paul ryan put into his budget, and which all of those republicans voted for. why? because it's about smart way of managing medicare. it is not taking away a single benefit. it is not cutting off a single beneficiary. it's asking the providers to manage their care better. and that was a smart thing to do. that's why paul ryan supported it, and every fact checker, not just cnn, but every fact checker that has looked at this has said it is a lie, a pants-on-fire lie. >> newt gingrich, a pants-on-fire lie. >> this is baloney. what they're saying is you can take $716 billion out of a program magically but you won't have taken $716 billion out of the program. now, that is simply a denial of how the real world wor
this is a fundamental disagreement about the way the world works and i think that romney was right this morning when he went in, he said look, there are two different viewpoints here. >> jennifer, you have to hold back. i can see you racing to get in there. it's not like last night. you can just pile in. >> truly, the $716 billion as you know was the same $716 billion in savings that paul ryan put into his budget, and which all of those republicans voted for. why? because it's about...
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what i think is interesting, this movement right here where romney is shifting from side to side, to me it looks like he's a boxer. again, it gets at this idea that romney sees this kind of as a boxing match, and he's kind of like preparing to go on by shifting his weight from side to side, he's kind of getting himself ready. you don't see obama doing anything like that. >> you have a closing two minutes. >> does that tell you anything when he wipes his lip? >> might have noticed throughout that he is sweating sort of on his upper lip, and he's aware of that and he wants to mop that away before his closing argument. so he wants to make sure that he looks really strong, and it's funny, i think when you do something like that, even on camera, you think people don't notice it as much as they do. >> now we're looking at the good-bye. what does all this good-bye stuff tell you? >> obama looks glad it's over. he looks relieved. he doesn't look victorious. romney looks happy and he looks relieved but you can tell that he feels victorious. >> how do you know that barack obama was relieved it
what i think is interesting, this movement right here where romney is shifting from side to side, to me it looks like he's a boxer. again, it gets at this idea that romney sees this kind of as a boxing match, and he's kind of like preparing to go on by shifting his weight from side to side, he's kind of getting himself ready. you don't see obama doing anything like that. >> you have a closing two minutes. >> does that tell you anything when he wipes his lip? >> might have...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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right at the top of that debate last night when romney first mentioned trickle-down government, obamaobviously, it's easy to say in retrospect, he should have said, no, you're the big supporter of trickle-down economics, let's not confuse the issue, let's be clear, you believe in trickle-down economics and grab the initiative. he has to do that the next time when romney plays these word games. >> is the thing to do to name the tactic? you are doing this in order to confuse the fact, in order to, you know, occlude the accusation against you that, i mean, is that how you do it? >> go that, go after the tactic. again, it's easy to say this as a monday morning quarterback, but then you pivot to the substance of it and explain why what he just said is not true. you don't call him a liar or say that's not true. or do something that can end up, you know, going viral in some way that is not helpful to the campaign. just have to very clearly and cogently, and it was cogency that was lacking last night, rip through the other guy's point. >> mitt romney said he does not espouse positions he's been runnin
right at the top of that debate last night when romney first mentioned trickle-down government, obamaobviously, it's easy to say in retrospect, he should have said, no, you're the big supporter of trickle-down economics, let's not confuse the issue, let's be clear, you believe in trickle-down economics and grab the initiative. he has to do that the next time when romney plays these word games. >> is the thing to do to name the tactic? you are doing this in order to confuse the fact, in...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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campaign. >> right. let's be clear the kinds of people that paul ryan was talking about include seniors, people who are drawing social security. >> those takers. they just take. >> taking more from the freg than they are -- federal government than they are paying in. they happen to be the numbers that vote in large numbers. if you're a republican and deficits with minorities and women, you need those white seniors to show up in large numbers for you. maybe they won't really understand that they fit into this category. there is a fair number of people who think this other people who are drawing on government subsidy in one way or another. but that vision part of this debate is going to be interesting because mitt romney has set himself up for some pretty difficult territory. are people on social security the kinds of voters that you are talking about, mr. romney, in this debate tonight, when you say government is paying too big a role in people's lives. that's a tricky one for him to walk out of. >> are t
campaign. >> right. let's be clear the kinds of people that paul ryan was talking about include seniors, people who are drawing social security. >> those takers. they just take. >> taking more from the freg than they are -- federal government than they are paying in. they happen to be the numbers that vote in large numbers. if you're a republican and deficits with minorities and women, you need those white seniors to show up in large numbers for you. maybe they won't really...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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right now, i want to bring in ann marie hauser, a romney campaign surrogate and former communications director for governor tim pawlenty's presidential campaign. thank you so much for joining us. you know, the president raised a whole lot, actually, an astounding amount, in just september. you know, and after the debate, observers say he seemed energized at these rallies. do you expect to see a different president obama putting a different foot forward after that debate last week? >> it's no surprise that barack obama raised this much money. we knew they was going to raise this much money all along. in 2004, john kerry out-raised president bush, and we all know how that turned out. so i think, you know, yes, he raised a lot of money. the president, or, excuse me, governor romney has raised $12 million since wednesday. so it's been a shot in the arm for the romney campaign too. >> and that's online as well. >> it's 60% -- >> we're not talking about major donors. we're talking about people who saw his debate and liked what they saw. >> 60% of them are new donors. so i think the romney c
right now, i want to bring in ann marie hauser, a romney campaign surrogate and former communications director for governor tim pawlenty's presidential campaign. thank you so much for joining us. you know, the president raised a whole lot, actually, an astounding amount, in just september. you know, and after the debate, observers say he seemed energized at these rallies. do you expect to see a different president obama putting a different foot forward after that debate last week? >> it's...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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KQEH
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. >> i think that was right. if he would call himself a latino, that 21% would go to 15. doesn't work that way. we have to find out who's the real mitt romney, the one who talked about that he didn't care about -- he didn't have to worry about the 47% of the people or the one who told us in a meeting that he wants to be the president for 100% of americans. that's the challenge for him? >> have you seen the ad by one of his sons? have you seen that ad. >> yes. yes. >> craig rom any. . >> it's very good. it's very, very good. now if all latino voters were to base their decisions solely on this one ad, i think romney's numbers would be much higher because he touched on the fact that his father was born in mexico, he touched upon the fact that his father wants a permanent solution to the immigration issue, but once they see interviews like ours, once somebody asks him to be more specific about latino issues, that's where he doesn't come through. >> at the end we are getting smarter. the hispanic community is getting smarter and more powerful and stronger because just a few ye
. >> i think that was right. if he would call himself a latino, that 21% would go to 15. doesn't work that way. we have to find out who's the real mitt romney, the one who talked about that he didn't care about -- he didn't have to worry about the 47% of the people or the one who told us in a meeting that he wants to be the president for 100% of americans. that's the challenge for him? >> have you seen the ad by one of his sons? have you seen that ad. >> yes. yes. >>...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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that doesn't come out right. in this case i said something just completely wrong. >> is governor romney trying to reset his campaign? our political panel will be back to discuss that. and do you think today's jobs report will erase what many call president obama's lackluster performance at the debates? join our conversation on twitter. you can find us @tamronhall and @newsnation. ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. ♪ ambiance [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. your head-start to home cooked. >>> last night in an interview fr governor romney backtracked for the first time in the controversial remarks regarding the 47%. >> clearly in a campaign with hundreds if not thousands of speeches and quest
that doesn't come out right. in this case i said something just completely wrong. >> is governor romney trying to reset his campaign? our political panel will be back to discuss that. and do you think today's jobs report will erase what many call president obama's lackluster performance at the debates? join our conversation on twitter. you can find us @tamronhall and @newsnation. ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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think mitt romney needs to do? >> oh, i think mitt romney needs to talk about failure and success. mitt romney may not be the perfect candidate, but this president doesn't have much in the way of accomplishments, especially when it comes to this economy. he has to say look, barack obama, you may have succeeded as a politician but you haven't succeeded as a president. i know what it takes to succeed in life, i've done it a lot in business creating growth and jobs. let's talk about that. >> it does seem in the last couple days his campaign has been kind of trying to make him seem like a warmer guy. i mean, that photo -- >> hes loosened his tie, taken it off. he's laughed a little more. the job for mitt romney clearly is to get in the ring, get in the arena and to show that he can handle these tough issues. he hasn't been specific. he has to avoid talking about taxes, has to avoid talking about the 47%. he has to play offense. and president obama has to make sure that he doesn't play preventive defense. >> just being
think mitt romney needs to do? >> oh, i think mitt romney needs to talk about failure and success. mitt romney may not be the perfect candidate, but this president doesn't have much in the way of accomplishments, especially when it comes to this economy. he has to say look, barack obama, you may have succeeded as a politician but you haven't succeeded as a president. i know what it takes to succeed in life, i've done it a lot in business creating growth and jobs. let's talk about that....
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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so rich people pay less under romney and more under obama. that is the ultimate answer, right? >> the ultimate answer is if either one get their proposals through. and one of the way our economy grows is if rich people have more money, they hire more people. you should not raise taxes when the economy is in trouble. our economy is in more trouble today. the growth rate last week was a pathetic at 1. 2%. >> very much for your time tonight. >> thank you. >> we finally get to the issue that rich people need the money because they create the jobs. i want to bring in ed and al and steve and chris back into this discussion. i want to bring back chris matthews in denver in terms of hearing the republican spin on this. seeing what seems to be real democratic frustration on this. we're hearing already in terms of the different responses. the romney side is proclaiming victory. the obama campaign does not seem to be doing that. chris? >> when you read "the new york times" tomorrow, you'll see a side bar, strong night for romney. i think it's an objective -- it may be theater, but this is
so rich people pay less under romney and more under obama. that is the ultimate answer, right? >> the ultimate answer is if either one get their proposals through. and one of the way our economy grows is if rich people have more money, they hire more people. you should not raise taxes when the economy is in trouble. our economy is in more trouble today. the growth rate last week was a pathetic at 1. 2%. >> very much for your time tonight. >> thank you. >> we finally get...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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romney very clearly pulls something from his right pocket and he pops it on to the podium in front of him. violation. violation. according to the conspiracy, complete with the grainy, slow mo youtube videos, this is mr. romney cheating. now he must have been working from note cards the entire debate. the explanation from the romney campaign is mr. romney was not pulling notes out of his pocket. he was pulling out of his pocket a handkerchief. sure enough, a little later on, oop, in the debate mr. romney is seen wiping his nose with said handkerchief. so whether you are persuaded by mitt romney wiping his nose on what is supposed to be his crib sheet notes, if you're on the left, again, like this is a conspiracy theory that just does not help. president obama did not win the first debate against mitt romney. whether or not you're happy about that, he didn't win. but if your takeaway from this conspiracy theory in this debate is the reason the president didn't win is because mitt romney cheated, then what is the utility of that theory for you? what is the utility of that information? ho
romney very clearly pulls something from his right pocket and he pops it on to the podium in front of him. violation. violation. according to the conspiracy, complete with the grainy, slow mo youtube videos, this is mr. romney cheating. now he must have been working from note cards the entire debate. the explanation from the romney campaign is mr. romney was not pulling notes out of his pocket. he was pulling out of his pocket a handkerchief. sure enough, a little later on, oop, in the debate...
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Oct 2, 2012
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they're making me do my homework. >>. >> right now they're drilling him on basic grammar skills. >> romney's people are just hoping he remains upright. >> let's get to our panel. we're joining by a laughing krystal ball and joy reid. joy, there's a new poll which shows the president enjoys an 18-point advantage over mitt romney among women, but i guess that's another dirty trook trick by the liberal media. >> can we show the unskewed version of that poll? >> even at 18%. >> i think the problem for mitt romney, it isn't women's issues, it's also medicare. more women than men are concerned about taking care of their parents, and i think just the overall gamut of issues sort of favor the president with women, and i'll tell what you, mitt romney could only overcome a gap like that with women if he had a comparable gap among seniors. i think when you combine the gender gap with now the shrinking age gap, problems for romney. >> okay. well, krystal, to joy's point, mr. romney is increasingly relied upon his wife to connect to women. take a listen. here she is. >> this is the mitt romney i know, an
they're making me do my homework. >>. >> right now they're drilling him on basic grammar skills. >> romney's people are just hoping he remains upright. >> let's get to our panel. we're joining by a laughing krystal ball and joy reid. joy, there's a new poll which shows the president enjoys an 18-point advantage over mitt romney among women, but i guess that's another dirty trook trick by the liberal media. >> can we show the unskewed version of that poll? >>...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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k if nexium is right for you. if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. >>> now, if you're wondering where mitt romney developed these extraordinary new debating skills, look no further. i've interviewed the governor three times in the past 18 months and tested his arguing skills as best i can. yes or no, are you going to run for the presidency again? >> i don't have an answer yet. i am doing things to keep the option each and moving forward in the event i make a positive division, but matters of help, support, the kind of network you'd like to have of individuals behind you, those are things you have to assess before you make a final decision. >> am i right in thinking you know the answer but you don't want to tell me? >> the issue of great significance and do the expedient thing and saying my health care plan was a terrible mistake, i'm not willing to do. >> as governor of massachusetts, you did extend a ban on assault weapons, you felt there was a qualitative difference between shoot
k if nexium is right for you. if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. >>> now, if you're wondering where mitt romney developed these extraordinary new debating skills, look no further. i've interviewed the governor three times in the past 18 months and tested his arguing skills as best i can. yes or no, are you going to run for the presidency again? >> i don't have an answer yet. i am doing things to keep the option each and moving forward in the...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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compare president obama's lead over mitt romney right now. 6%. it's outside the margin of error. could president obama suffer a loss in the same way as president obama carter did despite the lead with more than a month to go, ed o'keefe? >> of course. that's why the only poll that matters is the one that's taken on election day when people actually vote. these polls are meant to serve as quick snapshots of how people were feeling at varying points in time. we use them because we're eager to understand how it is that the electorate is reacting to everything going on. five weeks remain. what is it, 37 days? anything can happen. it could be the debate on wednesday. it could be some other surprise on wednesday or here in the united states. everything could change. that's why it's important that everyone remember that these are just quick snapshots. we use them. it behooves journalists to make sure we don't rely on them too much to start drawing conclusions. >> we do love polls here. it gives us something to talk about. let me ask you this. i have a buddy who contends one of the effec
compare president obama's lead over mitt romney right now. 6%. it's outside the margin of error. could president obama suffer a loss in the same way as president obama carter did despite the lead with more than a month to go, ed o'keefe? >> of course. that's why the only poll that matters is the one that's taken on election day when people actually vote. these polls are meant to serve as quick snapshots of how people were feeling at varying points in time. we use them because we're eager...